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Oct 28, 2012
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gallup poll has shown consistently a seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these obama voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. we have rasmussen and gallup in one corner. according to the gallup and rasmussen we're headed for a landslide for romney. 11-point victory, he got seven, obama. they lost last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i think, i think it's going to be extremely close. i think, like nicolle, it's going to be about ohio, the auto bailout. of all the policies and the arguments -- >> or miscounting latino voters. or people who don't respond to hard-line phone calls. or just the science of polling. >> or the number of times i have refused to pick up my phone when i can see it's research firm. but, nonetheless, i think a nightmare frankly, maybe we can all agree on this, is that there are some electoral college/popular vote difference. >> one scenario is that it just doesn't come down to one state, like ohio, is that you got four, or five, states and each one
gallup poll has shown consistently a seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these obama voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. we have rasmussen and gallup in one corner. according to the gallup and rasmussen we're headed for a landslide for romney. 11-point victory, he got seven, obama. they lost last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i think, i think it's going to be extremely close. i think, like nicolle,...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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so, why is the romney campaign telling poll volunteers to be purposely deceptive? think progress obtained audio from one of the training sessions. here is the person leading the session. >> we'll have you sign in. >> animosity? they say this has been going on for years, republicans and democrats do it. it's a legal and necessary of free and fair elections, but the romney campaign doesn't want voters to know they're there. gee, i wonder why. joining me now is scott who broke the story for think progress and joe madison, nationally syndicated radio host from sirius/xm the power. thanks to both of you for being here tonight. >> thanks for having me. >> scott, what can you tell us about your reporting? anything from the campaign? >> think progress obtained this document that is being used in romney poll watcher trainings around the state. we identified as many as 17 such trainings that occurred in the last month. not only are they being instrucked to sign in at the polls as a concerned citizen rather than mentioned -- or disclose any affiliation with the romney campaig
so, why is the romney campaign telling poll volunteers to be purposely deceptive? think progress obtained audio from one of the training sessions. here is the person leading the session. >> we'll have you sign in. >> animosity? they say this has been going on for years, republicans and democrats do it. it's a legal and necessary of free and fair elections, but the romney campaign doesn't want voters to know they're there. gee, i wonder why. joining me now is scott who broke the...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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the national polls show it tied, maybe a slight, slight edge for romney in the average of polls. but if you do the state-by-state breakdown, it's a very difficult path for romney to win that electoral college without ohio, wisconsin, iowa, that midwest fortress that obama seems to have. >> when obama made the decision on the bailout that was unpopular and it now may be that that actually saves him in ohio. >> i remember doing reporting on that, and aus ten goolsby gave the pure economic advisory said don't do this. and they said mr. president we campaigned in these states, these people are getting killed we've got to do this. one of the most important decisions of his presidency. >> if he wints ohio, it's going to be because he bailed out the auto industry. >> yeah. >> there are about 800,000 we estimate, gloria, undecided voters in these few remaining battle ground states. they're all working trying to convince them. what is going to convince them. >> it's really hard to say. when you talk to republicans they tell you that late in the game, where we are, undecided voters will br
the national polls show it tied, maybe a slight, slight edge for romney in the average of polls. but if you do the state-by-state breakdown, it's a very difficult path for romney to win that electoral college without ohio, wisconsin, iowa, that midwest fortress that obama seems to have. >> when obama made the decision on the bailout that was unpopular and it now may be that that actually saves him in ohio. >> i remember doing reporting on that, and aus ten goolsby gave the pure...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend that much money on them? >> they are false idols. they are worshiping the false idol. >> the media are more obsessed with polling than before. they show a close race, but president obama with a small but durable lead in the states that matter, and predictions show a race leaning towards the
are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these...
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Oct 31, 2012
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the latest polls. for mr. romney, desperate times call for desperate measures and it doesn't matter how much the truth suffers. joining me now is pulitzer prize connie schultz. she writes today, why romly will lose ohio. hint, hint. and dana milbank, columnist for "the washington post." he's writing that romney goes off road with the truth. thanks for being here tonight. connie, let me start with you. you were born and raised in ohio with ties to the auto industry. >> yes. >> how are ohioans responding to this false attack by romney and ryan? >> that's what is interesting to me. i come from these people. i come from utility workers and auto plant workers and steel workers. i think romney thinks that the people that i come from are stupid. but i've been traveling all over the state. i was in three different towns today and i've been at a lot of packed halls with auto workers and people who supply the auto industry. you're talking about 800,000 jobs in auto-related jobs in ohio, which means you're talkin
the latest polls. for mr. romney, desperate times call for desperate measures and it doesn't matter how much the truth suffers. joining me now is pulitzer prize connie schultz. she writes today, why romly will lose ohio. hint, hint. and dana milbank, columnist for "the washington post." he's writing that romney goes off road with the truth. thanks for being here tonight. connie, let me start with you. you were born and raised in ohio with ties to the auto industry. >> yes....
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Nov 2, 2012
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in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg has been thinking about for some time and it is coming as the president finished the bromance tour with chris christie. it is a good week for the president. >> when you read the mayor's reasons, what was he waiting for. there wasn't a single thing that he was in line for? >> it seems to me that he is someone who has a large conception on his role on american national affairs and an early endorsement would not preserve that. the mayor's people say there is off the recoorecord reporters ae time. if you look at the economists the center right conservative publication, what you see is that the presiden
in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg...
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romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> it sure ain't change. but governor romney is good at changing on every position and doing anything to win. on the trail, he's trying to sound warm and cuddly. he's now taking a soft attack. the new york times quoting him on the trail
romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters....
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Nov 3, 2012
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gwen: john: >> mitt romney will not be president unless he outperforms the polls if the polls are not capturing the intensity behind mitt romney's superintendent porers or in some way they're exaggerating president obama's support -- gwen: where is the intensity right now? is it with the republicans or the democrats? >> we have it equal. in our polls they're equally inspired. that's exactly right. >> republicans think they have an advantage. >> it's dispor portion -- disproportion nat with white voters. african-americans are also pretty energized but latinos which the president is dominating are not. young voters are not. both of those are underperforming in terms of interest in the election and motivation. that's where the president's challenge is. he's got to make sure that he could harvest all the votes that shows up in these polls from latinos and from young voters. >> and gwen, just to follow on amy's point, barack obama sbrang to celebrity status with that speech of not white america, red, america. if he wins he's going to win because he was the president of black america, hispa
gwen: john: >> mitt romney will not be president unless he outperforms the polls if the polls are not capturing the intensity behind mitt romney's superintendent porers or in some way they're exaggerating president obama's support -- gwen: where is the intensity right now? is it with the republicans or the democrats? >> we have it equal. in our polls they're equally inspired. that's exactly right. >> republicans think they have an advantage. >> it's dispor portion --...
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a week earlier, governor romney led the polls, but now you see president obama leads. in the middle class, the president leads by n'k11, value versus the economy. >>> and watching the exhausting travel schedule has been like watching a pair of prize fighters in the 12th round. let's get right out on to the campaign trail, along with kristen welker with the president in cincinnati. >> reporter: good evening to you lester. president obama campaigns here in must-win ohio tonight with music legend stevy wonder kicking thing off. with this race too close to call, president obama is enlisting his biggest su egest s and supporters to help him close this deal. president obama in the final sprint of this deadlocked race, stopping first in concord, new hampshire today. >> let's go get them, new hampshire. >> and then to hollywood, florida. >> are you fired up? >> reporter: mr. obama will travel several thousand miles, stopping in ohio, colorado, wisconsin. today the president enlisted one of the most high profile democrats to fire up voters. former president bill clinton. presid
a week earlier, governor romney led the polls, but now you see president obama leads. in the middle class, the president leads by n'k11, value versus the economy. >>> and watching the exhausting travel schedule has been like watching a pair of prize fighters in the 12th round. let's get right out on to the campaign trail, along with kristen welker with the president in cincinnati. >> reporter: good evening to you lester. president obama campaigns here in must-win ohio tonight...
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romney has a poll problem. he's behind. he's behind in almost every single one of the battleground states. if he loses ohio, he has to win everything else virtually. >> so he's dropping -- of course, the super pacs are dropping a bunch of money in the states that you mentioned. five days can be an eternity with that kind of money. >> the reason they're spending the money there, they can't spend any more in the other states. all the time is bought. they have more money than runway. look, we've seen this before. in 2000, karl rove said, george w. bush was going to win california. they spent millions and millions of dollars on advertising there. they sent bush out there, precious time, near the end of the campaign. i said, tad devine, carter, those of us involved in that campaign, so we're not spending one dime in california, and gore won the state by 1.3 million votes. the wish can't become father to the reality, which is what's going on here. >> like a team trying to talk their way to a championship instead of playing the ga
romney has a poll problem. he's behind. he's behind in almost every single one of the battleground states. if he loses ohio, he has to win everything else virtually. >> so he's dropping -- of course, the super pacs are dropping a bunch of money in the states that you mentioned. five days can be an eternity with that kind of money. >> the reason they're spending the money there, they can't spend any more in the other states. all the time is bought. they have more money than runway....
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polls tighten amid a new narrative mitt romney's momentum may not be real. and the president taking credit for positive economic aiders. and what will january's looming tax increases do to those signs of life? and a measure on the ballot in michigan could hand unions their biggest victory in years. will they make collective bargaining a constitutional right? >> welcome to "the journal editorial report." wifeless than two weeks to go, president obama and mitt romney hit the campaign trail in florida, ohio, wisconsin, colorado, and virginia. polls continue to show the race in a dead heat nationally, and too close to call, in no fewer than ten swing states but the obama campaign and its media allies are questioning whether mitt romney's recent momentum is real. joining the panel his week, dan henning gary, james freeman, dorothy rabinowitz and kim strassel. kim, tell us how real the romney surge is. >> look, paul, i know two weeks is one side increasing its advantage in both the national polls and the swing state polls. that's romney. we have seen money flowing
polls tighten amid a new narrative mitt romney's momentum may not be real. and the president taking credit for positive economic aiders. and what will january's looming tax increases do to those signs of life? and a measure on the ballot in michigan could hand unions their biggest victory in years. will they make collective bargaining a constitutional right? >> welcome to "the journal editorial report." wifeless than two weeks to go, president obama and mitt romney hit the...
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Nov 3, 2012
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>> you had the list of 24 polls and none had romney ahead. there have been some polls, some by the state republican committee in pennsylvania that have romney up a couple of points there but no public pollster has had him with a lead all year. so it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been very stable and very consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. but they're worried about it and they need maybe a better plan "b" potentially. >> have you ever seen, or is there even at least sort of a famous circumstance in which all the polls consistently all year long pointed in one direction, and a partisan internal poll correctly predicted the results? >> yeah, that's almost always going to be wrong. especially when there's a consensus of 15 or 20 polls. maybe when you're in a senate race or something or a house race, where the public polls aren't as good. but the public polling is pretty reliable in pennsylvania. we know what the party bases are and where they
>> you had the list of 24 polls and none had romney ahead. there have been some polls, some by the state republican committee in pennsylvania that have romney up a couple of points there but no public pollster has had him with a lead all year. so it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been very stable and very consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. but they're worried about it and they need...
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>> you had the list of 24 polls and none had romney ahead. some were done that had romney up a couple points there, but no public pollster has had him with a lead all year. it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been stable and consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. they need a better plan b. >> is there a famous circumstance in which all the polls all yearlong point in one direction and a partisan poll correctly predicted the results? >> that poll is almost always going to be wrong. especially when there's a consensus of 20 polls. maybe in a house race where the public polls aren't as good. but the public polling is pretty good. we know what the party bases are and where they live. this is a state that teases republicans where they can get up to 49% pretty easily, but it's hard to get to 50%. unless because of the hurricane and where the power outages might be, that could affect things. but apart from that, it's a sign of a campaign that doesn't li
>> you had the list of 24 polls and none had romney ahead. some were done that had romney up a couple points there, but no public pollster has had him with a lead all year. it's not just that obama is up there, but it's a state where it's been stable and consistent in the polling. i think it might be more in play because i don't think they are conceding ohio. they need a better plan b. >> is there a famous circumstance in which all the polls all yearlong point in one direction and a...
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Nov 2, 2012
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romney campen correctly trains poll watchers. wisconsin i think yesterday we talked about that they were training poll watchers to mislead in wisconsin, now they found in iowa romney poll watchers are being trained to watch for voters who show up without photo id even though there is no id law in iowa. they are just concerned citizens. of course we have trying to help you. >> of course you are. >> stephanie: california demes say hundreds of voter registrations were flipped. a california newspaper found many people's party affiliation was switched to republican without their consent. they noticed a huge surge to republican. just remember, if you are a registered republican jacki schechner will not date you. >> it's true. >> that's the only criterion. >> other than that i'm open. i think your values are rereflected by your politics so i think if somebody believes in what the republican party believes in value wise they are probably not a good fit for me. >> i come from a mixed marriage. >> i don't know anything about that. >> my mo
romney campen correctly trains poll watchers. wisconsin i think yesterday we talked about that they were training poll watchers to mislead in wisconsin, now they found in iowa romney poll watchers are being trained to watch for voters who show up without photo id even though there is no id law in iowa. they are just concerned citizens. of course we have trying to help you. >> of course you are. >> stephanie: california demes say hundreds of voter registrations were flipped. a...
WHUT (Howard University Television)
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Oct 31, 2012
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. >> rose: several national polls have the president and governor romney in a virtual dead heat coming down the stretch, some others have different results when you look at the swing states, joining me now is mark halperin of time magazine, i am pleased to have him the here once more at this table. so where are we? >> well, if the election -- you know, i think the most important thing is we don't really know what is going to happen, the race is close enough nationally in the battle ground states even before the storm there were enough variables that one can most comfortably and accurately say we will go into election day not knowing. even if the polls go one way i would not have great confidence that would foretell what the outcome is going to be. >> rose: are there things this storm and the aftermath might affect that would have a direct relationship to what happens at the polls? >> i think will be the loss of life and loss of property is foremost in everybody's minds and one of the great things about these two candidate is, it is not just a throw away line to say the president's top
. >> rose: several national polls have the president and governor romney in a virtual dead heat coming down the stretch, some others have different results when you look at the swing states, joining me now is mark halperin of time magazine, i am pleased to have him the here once more at this table. so where are we? >> well, if the election -- you know, i think the most important thing is we don't really know what is going to happen, the race is close enough nationally in the battle...
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again, the point to ohio is when you look at all of the public polls, 24 or 25 polls in 21 governor romney is leading with independents and not by a small margin but by double digit, and anyone involved with ohio politics will tell you the candidate who wins independents in ohio is going to win the highway he election. we are very confident about the race. when we see president obama underperforming badly in the southeast part of the state in the coal counties and when vice president biden said the defense doesn't need anymore m1 tanks and we will see tickets of unhappiness in ohio that will cut into their margin and at the end of the day i feel very good about government's message. >>chris: your campaign started running an ad in ohio implying that the jeep is shipping u.s. jobs to china when, in fact, they are expanding their operations to china but they are not shipping u.s. jobs overseas. i will play a clip of the ad and how president obama responded. >> obama took g.m. and chrysler into bankruptcy and sold chrysler to tall beyonds who will build jeeps in china. >> you do not scare hard
again, the point to ohio is when you look at all of the public polls, 24 or 25 polls in 21 governor romney is leading with independents and not by a small margin but by double digit, and anyone involved with ohio politics will tell you the candidate who wins independents in ohio is going to win the highway he election. we are very confident about the race. when we see president obama underperforming badly in the southeast part of the state in the coal counties and when vice president biden said...
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one area where romney's people are talking aboutpanding the map, michigan. >> a new poll finds mitt romney is closing in on president obama's once-comfortable lead in that state. "the detroit news"/local 4 poll found among likely voters, the race has tightened to be within the margin of error. earlier this month romney was trailing president obama by approximately six percentage points. and with signs that michigan is once again in play, the pro-romney super pac restore our future launched a $2.2 million ad, and the obama campaign is countering with its first network tv ads in michigan. the ads are expected to begin airing today and will run through election day. >> so mark halperin, michigan. i'm sorry. >> go ahead. >> michigan. that's a good poll, right? >> it is. >> michigan's in play now. >> i mean, if you look -- if you think that the quinnipiac poll is right about ohio, then the obama explanation of why they're going into these states is more credible. >> these states being michigan and pennsylvania. >> which is not oh, my god, the sky is falling, we're losing everywhere, we need to
one area where romney's people are talking aboutpanding the map, michigan. >> a new poll finds mitt romney is closing in on president obama's once-comfortable lead in that state. "the detroit news"/local 4 poll found among likely voters, the race has tightened to be within the margin of error. earlier this month romney was trailing president obama by approximately six percentage points. and with signs that michigan is once again in play, the pro-romney super pac restore our...
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and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. this is hayden. he's five years old. that's elizabeth. and that's skyler... and his mom, nancy. they're just a few of the californians who took it on themselves to send you a message about what they need to restore years of cuts to their schools. prop thirty-eight. thirty-eight raises billions in new revenue - bypasses sacramento and sends every k through 12 dollar straight to our local schools... every school. for them. for all of us. vote yes on thirty-eight. joe," and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was, of course, david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish i should say on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. and that's because th
and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. this is hayden. he's five years old. that's elizabeth. and that's skyler... and his mom, nancy. they're just a few of the californians who took it on themselves to send you a message about what they need to restore years of cuts to their schools. prop thirty-eight. thirty-eight raises billions in new revenue - bypasses...
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and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. joe," and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was, of course, david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish i should say on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. and that's because the romney camp and their cohorts in the super pac world announce they're now going to start advertising there. they're pouring in over 4 million bucks in pennsylvania, 2 million in michigan, and about $1 million in minnesota. well, the obama campaign has said they're going to match all that, go to the air waves to match one that. what we're watching is both sides probably spinning their case. republicans say they're seizing new opportunities, in other words, they
and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. joe," and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was, of course, david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish i should say on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan,...
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guest -- host of this poll shows mitt romney being ahead six points -- host: this poll shows mitt romney ahead by six points in florida, another one showing obama up by five points. [laughter] guest: same weekend? there are two polling firms out there, that there have been real questions about. going back to the point that andrew made, you have to make an assumption that some point. is turnout going to be like it was in 2004? which was even between the parties? or will it be more like 2008, with seven points for the democrats? my preference is to look in between. but what the poll has been doing in particular is looking more at what it was in 2008, which political pollsters will tell you, it will not be at that point. it needs to be somewhere near where the republicans were in 2008. host: the annual crystal ball contest from "the washington post." jim cramer, predicting that mitt romney will get 98 electoral votes, the president, 440? he is the only one predicting a landslide for the president. guest: he is the only one predicting that. i am a democratic partisan, i would love to see tha
guest -- host of this poll shows mitt romney being ahead six points -- host: this poll shows mitt romney ahead by six points in florida, another one showing obama up by five points. [laughter] guest: same weekend? there are two polling firms out there, that there have been real questions about. going back to the point that andrew made, you have to make an assumption that some point. is turnout going to be like it was in 2004? which was even between the parties? or will it be more like 2008,...
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we'll win ohio. >> new polls show president obama polling ahead of mitt romney among likely voters in the battleground states of virginia. in virginia, a reuters poll has president obama at 49% and mitt romney at 45%. in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 44%. tonight, nate silver the "new york times" blog forecasts that president obama has an 81% of winning re-election and that he will win 304 electoral college votes and mitt romney will within 234. and the great thing about next week is i will no longer have to say ppp poll. i'm done with that poll. these polls are tight. these polls, you know, i refuse to use the language the poll shows president obama winning 50, because every one of these polls is within the margin of error. every one of them. so they are really showing something that could be a tie, could
we'll win ohio. >> new polls show president obama polling ahead of mitt romney among likely voters in the battleground states of virginia. in virginia, a reuters poll has president obama at 49% and mitt romney at 45%. in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has...